We Need More New Companies

Bill Warner Sunday, July 11, 2010

Sometimes I just sit back in my chair and yell at the ceiling. "What the blazes are we doing in this economic recovery?"  We are making no progress and simply growing the government sector that produces nothing that represents lasting economic growth. The administration and Congress are deploying ideas that have not ever worked, both in this country as well as Europe and others.

I am no economist or expert in government, but a key part of the solution seems so apparent to me. We need to foster new business growth by taking the actions necessary to create new businesses through a revitalization of entrepreneurship in America. At the heart of American jobs and economic success is the small business. We need to be doing the things that create lasting viability of small businesses and enable them to prosper.

There's a good article on this in Inc. called Revitalizing the American Dream. Take a look at it each of the sixteen steps for revitalization and see if you agree. The ideas are quite doable but don't go far enough:

  • Entrepreneurship should be taught in our high schools, community colleges and universities. We need a new mindset that reflects that going into business for yourself is a fine undertaking, but we need to teach our young people how to do it for real. This would be a monumental undertaking by our school systems, requiring leadership that can make it happen.

  • Incubators are fine, but they have to be staffed by real business people that can tap into the entrepreneur's local community. We need to go beyond the limits of incubators and provide pervasive mentoring for entrepreneurs. We need to tap into the wealth of business knowledge that resides with senior business people. Thanks to medical science, we live well into our 70's, leaving many years for retired business people to coach and mentor entrepreneurs. We have a wealth of knowledge that can be put to work to mentor aspiring entrepreneurs. Take a look at EntreDot, an organization that is trying to foster mentorship.

  • Government needs to get out of the way, but also enable the way. A partial list of what is needed  is as follows:

    • Provide tax credits for business investment.

    • Reduce the capital gains tax, if not eliminate it all together.

    • Reduce taxation on business. We are the second most highly taxed nation in the world, and people wonder why businesses leave the US. Watch the economy flourish at a 15% tax rate on businesses.

    • Reduce and eliminate non-productive regulation; including Sarbanes Oxley, OSHA, FDA, healthcare, banking and environmental to name a few that add tremendous cost to business operations.

    • Free up angel investor organizations and micro-angel funds from caps on their returns and fees. In addition to grants, this is where the seed money for businesses comes from.

    • Government backed education loans for small business programs, but phased out once the private sector can finance this.

    • In addition to grant programs provide equity investment in early stage companies

All tax reduction actions have to be coupled with government spending reductions. A task that should be quite easy by laying a copy of the Constitution next to the budget and start making cuts to all those things that government should not be involved in.

A tremendous economic boost would come from effective action to become energy independent by aggressively exploiting our own oil and gas capacity nationwide. Watch the price of energy drop if we did that; further accelerating company profits.

Basically, we have to let Americans do what they do best. Innovate. Our uniqueness lies in our freedom and an economy based on capitalism. Sure, we make lots of mistakes and the going is rough, but it sure beats any other alternative I have seen from any other country or society ever.


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Successful VC’s “Stay Fresh”

Bill Warner Thursday, January 28, 2010

I just read an amazingly refreshing perspective by Greg Gretsch in PE HUB. It’s all about what it takes to be a successful VC. It is counter-intuitive, but makes a lot of sense.

A Fresh View of a Successful VC

With only ten years as a venture capitalist, with some very successful investments and lucrative exits, Gretsch is worried about becoming stale and out of date. Heck, most VC’s with his record of success would be riding high, living the good life, and pontificating to the venture community about his formula for success.

But no! Gretsch doesn’t think that the longer you’re a VC, the more skilled you become in picking winners. Instead, he theorizes that if you’re a VC for more than 10 years, you’re likely to grow worse at your job over time. And, he has some data that point out that this may very well be true. Even with spotty verification, Gretsch takes this seriously. Here’s why:

  • The older a VC becomes, the further out of touch with new technologies they become
  • As they move up the professional pyramid, their network actually shrinks because they are working with fewer and fewer people
  • They are not meeting the new people that are really bringing innovation to the market; as a result they miss trend setting ideas
  • They are stuck in looking at existing market sectors for new opportunities, missing new and significant market changes
  • Family demands increase as they get married and have children

How Do VC’s “Freshen Up?”

Gretsch’s simple advice is to “remain humble, keep your attitude in check, and stay hungry.” The hard part is to remember how that all feels. Here’s his formual, which might apply to many of us in lots of different lines of work:

  • Increase the number of relevant technologies with which you are familiar
  • Follow the leading industry analysts to learn what they are thinking
  • Build relationships with the next-generation of successful investors and technologists
  • Reach out to the younger entrepreneur and learn from their fresh ideas
  • Always be better at what you do

I think Gretsch really believes this and will remain on top in the VC community for another decade.


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VC Investment Outstrips Fund Raising

Bill Warner Wednesday, January 27, 2010

In 2009, the venture capital industry experienced the biggest gap between investment and fund raising in the last six year. In a recent Wall Street Journal Venture Capital Dispatch blog, it was reported that investment was down nearly $10 billion, from $30 billion to $20 billion, while fund raising declined $17 billion, from $30 billion to $13 billion. This $6 billion plus difference is the amount more invested than was raised by VC’s.

Bad news for companies

The implication is that although venture firms still have a lot of money, it is still going to be increasingly hard to get funding because they are running low on available funds and it is still very difficult for them to raise further funds from their limited partners. Their limited partners are still suffering from the economic downturn and have not opened this investment class for funding.

Corporate and other private equity investment is also suffering, further reducing the number of options for equity financing.

Is IPO the answer?

Another source of funds could be successful IPO’s, which could breathe more money into the VC firms. We have recently read about an emergence of IPO filings, including Motricity, a former RTP darling. However, many analysts are quite skeptical that 2010 will bring much hope in this arena either.

What companies need to do

2010 is not going to be much different than 2009; perhaps worse, with respect to your chances of getting new VC investment. It is still a game of the “best of the best” getting due consideration. It means that you need to have a very compelling business, with meaningful and growing customer traction, having the potential for large and rapid growth, to a level that will provide a handsome return.

Due diligence will be treacherous, filled with disappointment for many, but there is still gold in “them there hills.” You will have to mine it with a focused laser.


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Successful Investor Presentations

Bill Warner Thursday, January 14, 2010

One of the leading angel investor organizations in the United States is the Tech Coast Angels in California. They have some great advice on how to put an investor presentation together on slideshare.

The seven P’s

They simplify this process into seven concise steps that hit at the heart of what an investor presentation needs to be about:

  • Pitch – answering the question, “who are you and why should we care?” The importance of this bold introduction is to get the investor’s attention right away by telling them why they need to pay attention.
  • People – convincing investors that there is a management team that can really deliver what they are committing. Having this right up front emphasizes how important the management team is to investors.
  • Pain – explaining how compelling the industry problem or opportunity is to the potential customer. If the “pain” isn’t high, the investor’s interest will be low.
  • Product – describing the innovative and differentiated solution to the customer pain, getting across the high barriers to entry and its demonstrable readiness for market.
  • Players – showing that your product is the best in the industry while bringing to life how you will actually win against all competitors.
  • Projections – illustrating how you will make money and that you have a thoughtful picture of the financial dynamics of your business.
  • Proposition – introducing to investors what you are proposing be the investment deal showing that you have a specific view of who the money will be used and how the investors will be rewarded.

There are many other sources of information on the internet, but here is one on how to put together a structured business plan presentation that is often used with investors here in the Research Triangle Park.

Wrap it up

In closing, give an investor highlights summary explaining again why they should be interested, and then open up for their questions. You need to be ready to answer a wide range of questions about your business. Practice these because it is going to be your chance to show that you really understand your business and will be the clincher for gaining investor confidence.

Be sure to practice

Entrepreneurs need to be very well practiced in making these presentations and handling investor questions. Often you will only get one chance at this. If you do well, others will know. If you don’t, others will know. Go into these sessions loaded for bear having had a chance to practice on the firing range.


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Entrepreneur Gets Overwhelming Support After VC Shark Attack

Bill Warner Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Kevin Flannery has had an interesting time since being bled to death by some not so real VC’s on the TV show Shark Tank. This hyped up TV show that portrays venture investing as a visit to a shark tank has tried to embarrass entrepreneurs and make venture investors look like vicious animals. None of this is real and has been put together by some mindless producers who are trampling on one of America’s most valuable assets, the entrepreneur and the business partners who finance them.

The entrepreneur gets even

Since the show was aired, Kevin has gotten hundreds of responses over his website. The vast majority are encouraging and supportive. Comments like “hang in there,” “prove them wrong,” “way to stand strong,” “keep going, the product is needed,” and many others. More importantly, many of these responses are from potential business partners who want to know more about his business. Unlike the Shark VC’s, many saw the value proposition of the WiSpots product line. Several respondents were sales and distribution companies who showed interest in marketing and selling the product. Lots of people had further product suggestions. They even got contacted by potential investors, even ones that had previously passed on the business.

So, at the end of the day, Kevin has beaten back the sharks in an amazing turnaround of fate. We all thought that Kevin now lies at the bottom of the ocean. Not at all. He is alive and energized.

WiSpots update

Long before the show was aired, Kevin had joined with fellow entrepreneur Jason Angel, and formed a new company called Wi-Ficiency. The company offers a suite of physician and patient-centric software and hardware solutions that maximize profitability by reducing costs, improving productivity and generating additional revenue from the patient waiting room, while simultaneously improving patient satisfaction through education and entertainment. This company has far reaching potential in improving the state of healthcare by providing a broad selection of relevant patient information, a targeted marketing and sales channel for healthcare products, state of the art online medical transcription services, compliant electronic medical records, and many more capabilities as they acquire additional technologies.

The winning entrepreneur

It’s a shame that the VC Sharks couldn’t listen long enough to learn of the true business model of this company and instead chose to go for the ratings and throw WiSpots to the fishes. Kevin and Jason are very much above water and riding in a speed boat to their next funding event.


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Repelling Shark Attacks

Bill Warner Wednesday, August 12, 2009

The new television show, Shark Tank, portrayed investors as vicious animals and was kind of over the top with respect to how they deal with entrepreneurs. Quite frankly, I was ashamed of the way investors were made out to be the bad guys.

The truth about investors

Although the people who played the investor roles had many of the characteristics of real investors in an initial meeting with an entrepreneur, much of what we say was fiction and just plain overstated.

  • Investors are much more curious about the entrepreneur’s business model, starting with an understanding of the market and the buyer they are trying to satisfy. A substantial amount of time is spent on this alone in an initial meeting. Most investors need to establish this base of knowledge before they can evaluate anything about the business idea. We saw very little of this kind of inquiry on the show. Entrepreneurs need to really know their market and business model and be prepared to defend it before they engage with any investors.
  • Most investors are actually the biggest friend of the entrepreneur, when it comes down to it. It is rare to see entrepreneurs attacked and ridiculed as we saw on this program. Good investors, when confronted by lack of clarity by the entrepreneur, turn the moment into a coaching session; especially if they are seeing the formation of what appears to be a good idea. Insulting and laughing at entrepreneurs is not a typical way they conduct themselves. If you do run into a bull shark like we saw on the show, I suggest you just move on. You would not want them on your team.
  • Investors don’t immediately leap into a deal discussion in the first meeting. The first meeting is all about getting to know the entrepreneur and the business idea. These meetings last anywhere from thirty minutes to a few hours, as the investor performs initial due diligence on the plan for the business. Lots of questions get asked in an effort to determine if it is worth any more of their time to seriously consider making an investment in the company. The successful result of an initial meeting is an agreement to enter formal due diligence that could ultimately lead to a term sheet negotiation. Investors don’t write checks after a five minute discussion. This program leads people to think that investors make snap decisions in just a few minutes of consideration. That is ridiculous.
  • The entrepreneurs were not prepared very well to give a thoughtful business presentation, and even more unprepared to negotiate a deal. A real negotiation is much more thoughtful and reasoned. Entrepreneurs should explain the basis for the value they place on their company by describing its recent accomplishments and reflecting what the market is right now. They need to be prepared with a reasonable ownership offer, and know what their walk-away point is. Investors normally explain the reasoning behind their offer or counter-offer in order to convince the entrepreneur to accept it. It rarely gets into the shouting matches and insult slinging we saw on the program. Before any negotiation starts, investors carefully think through the numbers and determine the potential future returns, based on what they think the revenue, cost and expense requirements are going to be and how much money is going to have to be raised. We saw none of this.

Meet a real investor

I have no idea why it is good entertainment to publically humiliate an entrepreneur in front of millions of people. If you want to really understand what this process is all about, take the time to meet a real investor. I guarantee you will not find the kind of arrogance and be humiliated and berated like you saw on the Shark Tank. Most will take the time to give you some pointers and guide you to what your next step should be.


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Find the Right Investor

Bill Warner Tuesday, August 11, 2009

So you have completed your business plan, determined how much money you need, practiced your presentation, and are now ready to approach angel investors to raise the capital needed to launch your business. But, you don’t know any. You have heard about the angel organizations in the area. You have read about the venture capital firms as well. Where do you start looking? Here are some tips to finding angel investors:

  • First decide what you want from an investor with respect to industry experience, management experience and scope of influence. Your first investors are going to be your business partners and are people who can help you get your company started with their contacts and advice. When you have a good understanding of the kind of help you need from your investors, you will be able to easily qualify them. Not every investor you meet is one that you need on your team. Don’t make the mistake of engaging an investor who is going to ultimately be a bad partner. It could kill your company.
  • Right now you probably know more investors than you think you do. Establish a list of people that you know that you think could be an investor in your company. They should be accredited investors if at all possible. Think through all your business associates, friendships and family members, identifying those that could be investors, or those who might be able to introduce you to investors. This approach is often described as a “friends and family” round of investors. The reason it make sense is that you are dealing with people who know you and trust you, and therefore are more likely to agree to become an investor in your company. Of course, the downside of this approach is that you your friends and family may lose their money if your business is not successful.
  • The sophisticated angels are territorial and many of them roam in packs. Go to the Angel Capital Association website to find the names and contact information for the angel investor organizations in your area. Many also roam alone or in small private groups. They are hard to find. You need to make a habit of doing a lot of business networking. The more business people that you meet at networking events the better are your chances of finding angel investors. Let people know you are raising angel money to maximize your chances of getting a referral to them.

There is no silver bullet approach to this. Finding angel investors takes a lot of hard work and months to accomplish. You will need to attend a lot of events, meet a lot of people, shake a lot of hands and give your elevator pitch hundreds of times to find just a handful of people that are willing to invest in your company.


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A Glimmer of Hope in VC Financing

Bill Warner Tuesday, August 11, 2009

In its second quarter Venture Capital Survey of venture financed companies in Silicon Valley, Fenwick & West reported some brightening of venture deals.

Financing summary

The number of down rounds in the second quarter exceeded up rounds 46 percent to 32 percent. It looks like bad news, but this is an improvement over the first quarter which was 46 percent to 25 percent. The difference is that flat rounds decreased from 29 percent to 22 percent. Although this is the second time that down rounds have exceeded up rounds since 2003, it does signal that the bleeding has started to subside.

However prices continued to fall, with a 6 percent decline in the second quarter, which compares to 3 percent in the first quarter. This two represents the second time that there was a price decline since 2004.

Other indicators

Dow Jones VentureSource reported that the amount invested by VC’s in the U.S. in 2Q09 was approximately $5.3 billion in 595 deals, an increase from the $4.0 billion invested in 680 deals in 1Q09, but a significant decline from the $8.3 billion invested in 726 deals in 2Q08.

The health care industry received 42% of 2Q09 investment, and information technology attracted 37%, the first time on record that quarterly investment in health care exceeded investment in information technology.

Fundraising by U.S. venture capitalists was $1.7 billion in 2Q09, which was the lowest amount raised in a quarter since the first quarter of 2003.

There were 67 acquisitions of venture-backed companies in the U.S. in 2Q09, for a total of $2.6 billion, a decline from 70 transactions totaling $3.4 billion in 1Q09 and a significant decline from the 89 transactions totaling $6.5 billion in 2Q08. This was the lowest dollar volume of acquisition transactions since 1999. There were three IPOs of venture-backed companies in the U.S. in 2Q09.

Of course, one point of change doesn’t yet indicate a trend, but these numbers do signal a curbing of the decline of venture capital financing. Let’s look forward to the next quarter being even better.


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Lessons From The Shark Tank

Bill Warner Monday, August 10, 2009

The new television show, Shark Tank, is more than a little hyped up and not terribly realistic about the process of raising angel or venture capital. A lot more preparation goes into getting a company ready to present to investors than is portrayed in the show. The investors looked much more arrogant and cut throat than they really are, and most of the entrepreneurs were substantially unprepared to make the presentations at this level of investing.

Lessons learned

However, there were a lot of lessons that should be learned by entrepreneurs. Some good things were done and some terrible mistakes were illustrated.

  • You must present a business story, not a story about an idea. Emmy the Elephant and Ionic Ear were the cases in point. Both were explaining what their product is and how it works. They never explained why they had attractive businesses. When you are presenting to any group of investors, you need to explain what the business model is, describing how you are going to make money. Then, in turn, explain how the investors will make money as well.
  • A start-up business has to have a laser like focus and not try to approach too many markets at once. The Pie Factory had a great business going in wholesaling sweet potato pies. His major selling point to investors, a deal with McDonalds, almost had to be dragged out of him. He wanted money to expand his business, and was making thirty other varieties of pies, taking attention away from his core business in sweet potato pies. They got their investment, but at a valuation that was substantially less than their revenue. If he had been more focused on wholesaling and had a confirmed deal with McDonalds, he could have gotten a much higher valuation.
  • Unrealistic valuations are common place, but are usually worked out prior to a major presentation like we saw. However, the lesson learned here is that entrepreneurs really have to spend the time to understand what their business is worth right now and offer the investor an appropriate share for the money they will be putting into the company. The Pie Factory was valuing an $850K business at $4 million plus. Poor Kevin Flannery was valuing his business at $10 million plus, with no revenue. Iconic Ear’s valuation was over $6 million at the prototype phase of development. These are not even close to being reasonable and show that these entrepreneurs did little research into the investor market.
  • The heart breaker was WiSpot. Kevin Flannery showed a failing business in which he has personally invested his family’s life savings. The investors did him a big favor by telling him that his business model was not attractive and never would be. Their advice was all about knowing when to quit. Entrepreneurs should be listening for good advice from seasoned entrepreneurs and investors. When a lot of people are telling you that the dog is not going to hunt, then you need to move on to something else. It’s a shame that Kevin had to get that news in front of millions of people.
  • Entrepreneurs really need to be prepared to negotiate. Emmy the Elephant was raising $50 thousand and was selling 15% of her company. The company is at the prototype phase. She was offered the money, but at 55% of her company. She took the deal, probably not knowing that she just dropped her pre-money value to about $40 thousand and gave up control of her company. Not a great deal, but maybe it was right for her. Nevertheless, entrepreneurs need to know their numbers and come into such a negotiation with clear reasons for their valuation and knowing what they are willing to give on as well as their walk-away point.
  • Arrogance and a bad attitude is not a good thing to display in front of investors. The College Foxes Packing Company got hammered because they were not willing to share their current company with investors. Instead, they insisted on trying to sell a spin-out services company that has no revenue for $250 thousand and a 25% share. The negotiation got heated and the entrepreneurs insulted the investors and ultimately turned down a sweet heart deal because they were unwilling to share any piece at all of their current business. In reality, these entrepreneurs should have known that the negotiation would go the way it did and been prepared with a clear position and counter offer.

Once you peel away all the dramatic showmanship, this program has some valuable lessons for entrepreneurs. These mistakes are made every day, and can be avoided by good research, preparation and getting solid advice from experienced entrepreneurs.


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IPO’s and Angels

Bill Warner Tuesday, July 28, 2009


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